INFLUENCE OF WEATHER AND CLIMATIC CONDITIONS ON THE OPERATION OF CITY BUSES

ABSTRACT

Public transport flow does not take into account passenger flows along the route depending on weather conditions. Weather indicators are important for assessing passenger traffic in public transport, as well as for predicting passenger traffic. A scientific approach to this issue requires determining the relationship between the flow of passengers during the movement of buses between weather indicators. The article examines the relationship between the weather characteristics of shuttle buses and passenger traffic.

АННОТАЦИЯ

Научно-исследовательский подход при решении этой проблемы требует определения взаимосвязи между пассажиропотоком на маршруте движении автобусов и погодными условиями. В данной статье авторы исследуют взаимосвязь между погодными характеристиками и пассажиропотоком на городском автобусном маршруте, что позволяет учесть каждый из погодных показателей при разработке расписания движения автобусов, обеспечить выбор типа автобусов, повысить надежность обслуживания пассажиров.

Ключевые слова: пассажир, общественный транспорт, погодные индикаторы, температура, время в пути, влажность, осадки.

Keywords: passenger, public transport, weather indicators, temperature, route time, humidity, precipitation.

УДК: 656.078.1

The bus schedule on the routes depends on the existing passenger flow and is developed taking into account passenger demand, route distance, types of buses on the route and weather and climatic conditions. Therefore, when developing a public transport schedule, it is important to conduct research to predict the dynamics of changes in passenger traffic, taking into account weather and climatic conditions. A scientific approach to this issue requires determining the relationship between weather and passenger traffic on public transport. In the article we explore the relationship between passenger traffic and weather conditions on city bus routes.

In order to study the factors influencing passenger flow on public transport in the city of Tashkent, the experience of developed countries in forecasting passenger flow on public transport, all factors influencing traffic and modern methods of serving passengers on public transport were analyzed.It is advisable to study the influence of weather on the movement of public transport in two ways: absolute and relative [5]. The absolute method involves changing the flow of passengers regardless of the bus drivers. In a relative sense, it refers to the movement associated with the effects of weather on bus drivers.

Table 1

Indicators of passenger traffic by mode of transport in the Republic of Uzbekistan

According to the dynamics of passenger traffic shown in Table No. 1, in 2019-2023 the share of road transport in the total passenger turnover of the country's transport system remained stable at 95-99%. Growth in passenger traffic by road transport in 2019-2023. averaged 4-6% annually. We analyzed the impact of weather indicators on passenger traffic in relation to the number of passengers transported over 12 months in 2023 on city public transport by buses belonging to the 1st bus fleet of Toshshahartranskhizmat JSC in the city of Tashkent. The obtained average statistical weather indicators, research results and the number of passengers transported on these routes are systematized in Table No. 2.

Table 2

Average statistical weather indicators and the number of passengers transported by buses of the 1st bus fleet for 2023

Figure 2. Passenger traffic and average weather conditions

As a result of studying the influence of weather conditions on passenger traffic, we compiled Figure No. 2, which shows the degree of influence of weather changes on passenger traffic on bus routes operated by buses 1 - bus fleet. The study showed that failure to take into account weather conditions in public transport leads to a decrease in the quality of service. Such factors that influence the deviation of the bus schedule from the plan must be taken into account when developing the schedule. The ability to take into account each weather indicator when developing a schedule will ensure a rational choice of bus type and increase the reliability of passenger service.

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